“Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.” And this year, Lichtman’s model indicates that Trump will win. But Lichtman, like everyone else, admits that none of these models were built with Trump in mind. “We’ve never had a candidate before who’s invited a hostile foreign power to meddle in American elections. We’ve never had a candidate before who’s threatened to start a war by blowing ships out of the water in the Persian Gulf if they come too close to us. We’ve never had a candidate before who has embraced as a role model a murderous, hostile foreign dictator. Given all of these exceptions that Donald Trump represents, he may well shatter patterns of history that have held for more than 150 years.”

+ “The republic is under siege by a moron, basically. The whole thing is tragic. Without overstating it, it’s a tragedy for our democracy.” Since it’s his birthday, let’s hear what the boss has to say about the Donald.

+ Ted Cruz, who was Trump’s foe up to and through the GOP convention, has reversed course and now says he’s voting for Donald.