The Gulf Between
Regardless of your position on America’s Gulf “excursion,” no thinking person can deny that freeing the Iranian population from a deadly regime would be a good thing, as would freeing Israel and the region from the constant threat of terrorism. So would freeing the world from the concern about Iran’s quest to go nuclear. The big question about what the president has already described as a big win is whether the current strategy (to the extent there is one) gets us closer to any of these goals. Reuters: US intelligence says Iran government is not at risk of collapse, say sources.
+ David Igantius in WaPo (Gift Article): “If the conflict ends tomorrow, Iran will have lost nearly all its nuclear facilities and scientists, most of its missiles and missile launchers, most of its weapons factories, most of its navy, and much of the command and control for its military, intelligence and security forces.
But the regime survives. It has taken America’s best punch, and it’s still standing.” Iran’s Islamic Republic 2.0 is coming — and it won’t be pretty.
+ In addition to the questions about what this war does to Iran and the global economy, we also have to ask what it’s doing to us, as we watch our government abandon the moral high ground (even lying about an accidental strike on a school) for what they themselves have labeled fury. NYT (Gift Article): How Hegseth Came to See Moral Purpose in War as Weakness. “His diagnosis of the military’s shortcomings is one that often emerges after a lost war. ‘There’s always someone who thinks that if only we were crueler, if only we’d killed another million Vietnamese, then we would have won this war,’ said Phil Klay, a novelist and a Marine Corps veteran of the Iraq war. ‘If you reduce war to the satisfied feeling you get when you kill the enemy, it makes it a lot simpler and more satisfying.'”
+ Ultimately, it’s impossible to separate the (many) goals stated by the administration from the people in the administration who are actually running this operation. I covered this yesterday. Strait Outta Competence.
+ The Hormuz Strait remains dire, the “current disruption to the world’s oil supply from the Persian Gulf is the largest in history,” Israel launched more strikes in Beirut, Iran is attacking tankers, and Mojtaba Khamenei issued his first statement. Here’s the latest from NYT and The Guardian.
