Vegas Nerve

“Users of Kalshi and its primary rival, Polymarket, can bet on events major and minor, from politics to sports to culture to the weather. Recent markets on Kalshi have included whether certain words would be used during a Palantir Technologies Inc. earnings call, whether Elon Musk would win his court case against OpenAI and whether the highest temperature in Seattle on Feb. 4 would be within a certain range. Polymarket users have bet on whether the US would strike Iran on a particular date, whether a given Trump cabinet member would be the first to leave office and whether Jesus Christ would return before 2027.” Bloomberg (Gift Article): How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth. (What they’re really doing is gamifying gambling; deploying the most addictive tricks of technology, casinos, social media, and AI, to hook as many people as possible. If Jesus Christ does return before 2027, he’ll be right in their target market.)