“What we’re seeing, in other words, isn’t a surge or crisis, but a predictable seasonal shift. When the numbers drop again in June and July, policymakers may be tempted to claim that their deterrence policies succeeded. But that will just be the usual seasonal drop.” WaPo: There’s no migrant ‘surge’ at the U.S. southern border. Here’s the data. “Evidence reveals the usual seasonal bump — plus some of the people who waited during the pandemic.”

+ “This is not unprecedented. We’re seeing an increase in the number of children arriving, but we’re not seeing unprecedented numbers of children. Obviously, we never experienced this during a pandemic, and so that is an added layer. But, again, it’s not something that we haven’t experienced previously.” The New Yorker: The Humanitarian Challenge of Unaccompanied Children at the Border.